Futures Prop Firm Calculator

Pick a firm, plan, and account size. Tune your winrate, RR, and trade frequency. The simulator runs a Monte Carlo against each firm's real drawdown, daily-loss, and consistency rules to estimate pass odds, costs, and payouts.

PT:DD1.50×DrawdownEOD trailingPayout100%Consistency50% ruleDaily loss$1,000–$3,000 (scales)

Your trading system

Winrate40.0%
Reward : Risk (RR)2.00 : 1

max 20 for Apex Trader Funding

Risk per trade (1R)

≈ 0.50% of account

Coupon

$550
%
$139
%
no monthly subscription
%
$550
%
Pin a scenario to compare deltas

Outcome

Pass probability
10.7%18.5% bust · 62.4% timeout
Reached funded
19.1%8.5% busted after funding
Avg days to pass
15.7 dmin 0 required
Total cost (avg)
$577P90 budget $689
First payout
day 525d min · $2.6K buffer
Monthly net (est)
-$214payout $247 avg

Trading edge

Max losing streak
5 / 8P50 / P95
Risk of ruin
18.5%bust before passing
Risk of 5+ losses
64.2%10+: rare
ROI on cost
-57.3%net -$330 / cost
Trades per pass
16when you pass
Max drawdown
$2.5KP50 $1.5K

Strategy Analysis

Returns Breakdown

Annualized ROI-5.13% / yr-0.43%/mo · -0.10%/wk · 0.095%/trade
Avg trade size+$500 / −$2502.00:1 reward-to-risk
Trades per pass16 trades6W · 10L · 40.0% WR
Sum R per pass+3.0R+2.00R win · −1.00R loss
Drawdown %3.00% avgP95 5.00% worst
Balance range$48K – $54.5Kacross 2,000 trials

Risk-Adjusted Returns

Profit factor1.31marginal
Sharpe (ann.)1.18good
Sortino (ann.)2.21excellent
Calmar-1.71poor
Recovery factor-0.22net < max DD
Omega ratio2.28strong
Gain-to-pain2.28strong
Ulcer index2.7low DD pain

Edge

Expectancy

Per trade (R)+0.19R
Per trade ($)$47
Break-even WR33.3%
Edge margin+6.7pp

Edge confidence

Trades / eval (P50)16
Z-score0.56 (weak)
Min trades (95% CI)136

Kelly sizing

Full Kelly10.0%
Half Kelly (rec.)5.0%
Current risk0.5%
Kelly index0.05× (under-betting)

Tail Risk

VaR 95%$2Kloss in 1-of-20 trials
CVaR 95% (ES)$2Kavg loss in worst 5%
VaR 99%$2Kloss in 1-of-100 trials
CVaR 99% (ES)$2Kavg loss in worst 1%
Tail ratio1.13upside / downside tail

Loss probability

Lose 10% of capital
$5K
0.0%
0.0%
Lose 25% of capital
$12.5K
0.0%
0.0%
Lose 50% of capital
$25K
0.0%

Multi-firm portfolio

FirmPlanAccountsCouponSizingActions
20 / 20
Final balance distribution
P5
$48K
P25
$49.3K
P50
$50.8K
P75
$51.5K
P95
$52.3K
Days to pass distribution
P5
8.0 d
P25
12.0 d
P50
15.0 d
P75
20.0 d
P95
21.0 d

Days to pass distribution

383 passing trials only

Drawdown Duration & Recovery

Time underwater70.0%avg % of days below peak
DD episodes / path4.6232 total across 50 paths
Avg DD duration4.2 dmax 60.0 d
Avg DD depth1.6%mean peak-to-trough
Avg recovery time1.9 dfrom trough to new peak
V-shape episodes0.5%fast recovery (< 40% of dur.)

Recovery tax (loss needs more gain to break even)

−5%
needs +5.3%
5.3% gain required
−10%
needs +11.1%
11.1% gain required
−15%
needs +17.6%
17.6% gain required
−20%
needs +25.0%
25.0% gain required
−25%
needs +33.3%
33.3% gain required
−33%
needs +49.3%
49.3% gain required

Cash Flow Over Time

computing…
Median final net$0through 1 year
P10 final net$010th percentile outcome
P90 final net$090th percentile outcome
Median break-evenmonth net turns positive
P(ever break-even)0.0%within the horizon
ROI on spend0.0%median final net ÷ median spend
Computing cash flow…

Streak & Drawdown Resilience

Loss tolerance
8
consecutive losses before bust
P95 worst streak
8
from simulation
3 in a row
95.1%
$750
Yes
4 in a row
81.5%
$1,000
Yes
5 in a row
60.7%
$1,250
Yes
6 in a row
40.1%
$1,500
Yes
7 in a row
24.4%
$1,750
Yes
8 in a row(bust limit)
14.0%
$2,000
Yes
10 in a row
4.1%
$2,000
Bust

To survive your P95 worst streak (8 losses), max safe risk is $250 (0.50% of account).

Rule stress test

No data yet

Adjust your inputs to see how your edge holds up against tighter rules.

Optimal risk sweep

best monthly net at 0.00%
No data yet

Adjust your inputs to see the optimal risk distribution.

Pass% sensitivity

red = unlikely, green = robust
↓ Winrate / RR →1:11.5:12:12.5:13:13.5:14:1
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%

Monthly net sensitivity

red = losing $, green = profit
↓ Winrate / RR →1:11.5:12:12.5:13:13.5:14:1
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%

Plans within Apex Trader Funding

0 plans
No plans

Firm comparison at your inputs

closest plan to $50K
No matching plans

Ladder Lab

Day stop rule

Multi-account strategy lab

LabelRisk $WR %RRTr/dayInstrumentStop ptsAcctsModeGroupsDay-stopActions
Risk-scale: simulating…
Frequency-scale: simulating…
Group-split: simulating…